Sunday, May 3, 2015

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT: Moved to Community Facebook page

It has obviously been a long time since I have posted anything on this blog.  My capacity to keep this up was taking more time than it needed to.  I had created a Community page on Facebook some time ago, and have now started to enjoy the freedom of posting stories or commentary I normally would here, to the new spot > Tahoe is Walking On (Community) > please come and join us there, and we look forward to your participation.

Walking forward on intuitive improvisation, Peter J.

Thursday, August 14, 2014

Modern Expression of Value: Art of Significance (Arnold Choi and Bonhams)

A 345 year old cello - originally constructed in 1669 - and has survived, not stored in a museum but for the last three years in the possession of renowned Canadian Cellist Arnold Choi - a dream com true for him.  The Stradivarius is quoted as been valued at $11MM.




A 1962 Ferrari GTO is an iconic machine to all Tifosi and automotive enthusiasts across the globe.  With very few original examples ever built, their sales are closely followed.  Recent sales have been rumored to have topped $50MM.  This particular example has been in the same ownership in Italy for almost 50yrs, and sold at Bonham's Quail Lodge Auction on Thursday, August 14th for $38MM.

<i>The Ex-Jo Schlesser/Henri Oreiller, Paolo Colombo, Ernesto Prinoth, Fabrizio Violati</i><br /><b>1962-63 FERRARI 250 GTO BERLINETTA</b><br />Chassis no. 3851GT<br />Engine no. 3851GT

These circumstances bring forward an interesting comparison.  From a value perspective, they are both considered (mostly) irreplaceable.  I feel that replacing 345yr old wood is almost impossible, isn't it?  The materials and engineering are in place to re-create the original car if it was ever damaged.  Re-creation GTO's generally have sold for a significant discount.  So in terms of ease of replacement and rareness, would it not seem logical for the price of the cello to be significantly more than the Ferrari.  They are equally cherished by their admirers, fans and those that are fortunate enough to interact directly.  Their advocates would each debate their superiority to extremes.  It highlights that the 'relative' value for art is what the next person will pay for it.

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Shell brings leading technology to offshore East Coast Canada (Shell)

Bringing Best Technology to Deep Water Exploration Offshore Canada

Published on 8 Aug 2014

Shell's Shelburne Basin Venture Exploration Project marks the first time 3D Wide Azimuth (WAZ) Seismic technology was used in Canada. This technology provides much clearer data in water depths of 1500 to 3500 metres, 250 to 350 kilometres offshore Nova Scotia. Shell used this new technology in an environmentally responsible way and is committed to offering employment opportunities to the local communities in Nova Scotia.

RIP ~ Robin Williams ~ thank you

I (and the family) generated many uncontrollable laughter and memorable moments with Robin Williams.  From my early days watching Mork and Mindy, to the movies and standup comedy.  At the Met.  Mrs. Doubtfire.  Good Morning Vietnam.  Most memorable and cherished experiences.  Live on robin - you are a special soul.

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK (WEO) UPDATE ~ An Uneven Global Recovery Continues ~ July 2014

WEO UpdateWORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK (WEO) UPDATE
An Uneven Global Recovery Continues

July 2014

Download Full-Text PDF:
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  1. The global growth projection for 2014 has been marked down by 0.3 percent to 3.4 percent, reflecting both the legacy of the weak first quarter, particularly in the United States, and a less optimistic outlook for several emerging markets. With somewhat stronger growth expected in some advanced economies next year, the global growth projection for 2015 remains at 4 percent.1/
  2. Global growth is expected to rebound from the second quarter of 2014, as some of the drivers underlying first quarter weakness, such as the inventory correction in the United States, should have only temporary effects, and others should be offset by policies, including in China. But the first-quarter setback will only be partially offset.
  3. Downside risks remain a concern. Increased geopolitical risks could lead to sharply higher oil prices. Financial market risks include higher-than-expected U.S. long-term rates and a reversal of recent risk spread and volatility compression. Global growth could be weaker for longer, given the lack of robust momentum in advanced economies despite very low interest rates and the easing of other brakes to the recovery. In some major emerging market economies, the negative growth effects of supply-side constraints and the tightening of financial conditions over the past year could be more protracted.
  4. In many advanced and emerging market economies, structural reforms are urgently needed to close infrastructure gaps, strengthen productivity, and lift potential growth.
Global growth moderated more than expected in the first quarter of 2014, from an annual rate of 3¾ percent in the second half of 2013 to 2¾ percent—some ½ percentage point lower than the forecast in the April 2014 World Economic Outlook (WEO). Although there were upside surprises to activity—in Japan, and also in Germany, Spain, and the United Kingdom—four negative surprises dominated.

Sunday, August 10, 2014

VICE NEWS: The Rise of the Islamic State: ISIS (or is this just plain terrorism)

VICE has an unprecedented look at the establishment of the Islamic State - a five Part series.  I find the 'life' depicted in this series to be very unsettling.  The images of the teaching and coaching of very young children in acts of violence against humanity is reprehensible.  I understand that this is a very different culture, that their perspective is very different from a western perspective, and I should not expect to understand it.  However, I cannot accept the principles of this culture, a passionate hate culture.  I cannot see this leading to good things.




"New" value in our modern world (with excerpt from BusinessInsider)


Photo © Peter S Jalkotzy
"With analysts estimating up to $200 million in annual revenue from the game, Kardashian is likely making more from her app than she made from all of her other projects last year. Forbes claims she made $28 million last year, and a report from TMZ says Kardashian receives 45 percent of the game's net profits, which would mean about $85 million so far." (Source - BI - 2014)
This text reflects a certain 'value' that is becoming increasingly apparent and maybe even important in modern society. It used to be that we had to spend our time acquiring food, and building shelter, and ensuring security to our family. I understand this is very elemental. It is intended to be. And I believe this 'productivity' component of our modern world has shifted/is continuing to shift.

In my view, productivity is in activities related to materials, construction, and operation, provision of food, shelter, and energy. I think these are the traditional sectors of agriculture, natural resources, and energy, and all the inter-related activities. Activities such as those related to entertainment, enjoyment, socialization and the interaction of life are increasingly a greater proportion of everyone's daily lives and more so, their expectations.

We have made life so simple in terms of the 'necessities' of life (i.e., food, shelter, security) that disposable time (along the same lines of disposable income) is plentiful and freely available. So we need to entertain ourselves - we like being engaged in our lives - if not for work, then play. And we're not just talking the Wild Joker of the King's Court. We're talking Red Bull Extreme sports. And of course, the Kardashians. But we are also talking all the music, movie, and theatre business. General travel. Adventure travel. Ecotourism. Professional volunteerism. Etc. Etc. Etc.

It goes far beyond that as well. With the world awash in cash from a global 'push the accelerator to the floor' policy, the world of art and celebrity have been vaulted to new heights. Specialty car auctions have continued to see incredible growth in 'value'. And you need someone to manage all your money for you - so the 'financial industry' has also seen massive growth in the last several decades. And with the rise of electronic trading, and ubiquitous access to markets, the trading of money for more money has also been elevated to new heights.

The argument that I have listened to is that this is not 'productive'. I agree - it is not productive in the old sense of the word. But what IF it is productive in the new modern society we are growing? Increasingly, I have friends and colleagues that do not have to 'work' in the old traditional manner, and spent a vast majority of their time in leisure, or self directed activities with or without limited connection to a traditional 'job'. While I am happy for them and their opportunities, I similarly, love the engagement and sense of accomplishment that I derive from my 'work', including my online activities.

The excerpt in the introduction is yet another example of what the world is expressing as 'value' - $85MM so far this year for an app game. And what about the $4MM/yr that the fellow from Europe makes for posting his commentary on games that he plays. The guy that makes $30k/month by publishing e-books on everything and anything. Speculative stock plays or an artificially intelligent algorithm that scalps price action in the Forex market. A big payout from somewhere or another. The days of the traditional career appear to be changing. Or at a minimum, the choices available are expanding rather dramatically.

And why is this? Why is it possible for someone to engage in some seemingly 'unproductive' activity, and make a life? I feel it is because we have distilled what 'life' means to simple monetary values. I believe the social, spiritual, psychological, physical, and mental values are mostly suppressed or marginalized. And I also believe that some of the world's most serious ills are a direct expression of that circumstance. The 'value' of these other aspects of living play a more important part of individual happiness and contentment that has been thought.

Saturday, August 9, 2014

Significant tailings breach events of the last several years (Mt. Polley video Global)

Permalink to GlobalBC video
2008 - Tennessee, Coal Ash - 4.1MM m3

2010 - Hungary - Aluminum processing - 600,000-700,000 m3

2013 - Obed Mountain - Coal slurry - 670,000 m3 + 90,000 tonnes muddy sediment

2014 - Mt. Polley, British Columbia - gold/copper processing - 4.5MM m3 fines + 10MM m3 water

WISE (World Information Service of Energy - Uranium Project) has a compilation of major tailings dam failures since 1960 (HERE).  Invariably, the cause to these events are the function of operation practices that went beyond permitted limits, and monitoring of the facility was not enforced.  Many stories cite that tougher regulation or greater oversight is necessary.  As I have noted elsewhere (HERE), I do not believe it is the oversight that is required.  It is quite simply honesty and integrity to follow the rules that are in place to serve public health and safety, and property and environmental protection.  That means the proponents, the regulators, and the general public.  The mechanisms are all in place for these processes to properly vet a project and ensure that it is technically sound and operationally functional for its intended purpose.  Repeatedly, alternations are made, amendments are requested and follow through is not representative of the relative risk

In the case of Mt Polley there are many details that are emerging relative to any variety of failures in the process.  And it is my perspective that each one of these failures can be isolated to a breach on honesty and integrity within the process.  The proponents want to optimize their operations.  The regulators are overwhelmed.  The public has a challenge in understanding the real risks.  Who sites a tailings pond in the manner this site was located?  Who allows for operations to continue months and years after warnings and seemingly almost ad hoc practices are engaged to 'accommodate' the unanticipated volumes of waste and wastewater that the operations were generating?  Who and how, and when was it confirmed that the operations were not able to operate within their permitted limits and seemingly allowed the proponent to continue with what appear to be 'bandaid' mitigation to the much larger problem?

These projects need to be challenged by all levels of scrutiny in the process.  From the original design and calculations, their basic assumptions and all the 'thinking' that went into the decision to proceed, to the monitoring data and analysis of the 'performance' in accordance with design specs and regulator terms and conditions.  People.  Individual people are all involved in this process.  While certainly there will always be some probability of an unanticipated accident, these events noted appear to be completely preventable.

Thursday, July 31, 2014

Play Based Regulation Pilot (AER)

Under the new organization of energy regulation in the Province of Alberta, the Alberta Energy Regulator (AER) and the commensurate components of the Environment and Sustainable Resource Development department merge to further enhance the 'one-window' opportunity for applications and approvals of energy projects across the province.  AER is testing a pilot project referred to as the Play Based Regulation Pilot.  The program is intended to run from September to March 2015.  Encana has submitted their interpretation of the regulation in a submission for their Simonette property.  The application discussed a variety of activities centered around the installation of water withdrawal and pumping, pipelines and related infrastructure.  By submitting, Encana has taken the risk at being first.  This can have both positive and not so positive outcomes.  I will be watching this process closely.

FULL DOCUMENT HERE
READ FULL APPLICATION DOCUMENT HERE
   

Monday, July 28, 2014

Grassy Narrows, Methyl-Mercury, and Minimata Disease

I first read (and wrote) about this problem in my final year of undergraduate work (1979-80).  I wrote an essay for Environmental Physiology that looked at the origin of 'Minimata disease' and the circumstances at the Grassy Narrows and Whitedog native reserves.  Caustic soda production upstream lead to severe mercurcy poisoning, similar to effects seen in Minimata District of Japan.   35 years later, this problem, while improving, remains a significant challenge for the local residents.

A Condensed Version of Report 1986-2001

Full 2010 Report (English) 



Sunday, July 27, 2014

Northern communities benefit from northern BC development interests (NNSL Subscription)

Nexen using river to supply northern B.C. oil and gas project

Roxanna Thompson
Northern News Services
Published Thursday, July 24, 2014

ACHO DENE KOE/FORT LIARD
Fort Liard is in its third summer of being an important barging hub for an oil and gas company with interests in northern B.C. 
NNSL photo/graphic

For the third consecutive summer Nexen is using Fort Liard as a hub to barge supplies to its North Liard project area in northern B.C. The company expects to send approximately 50 barge trips from Fort Liard during this barging season, which should last until late September. - photo courtesy of Nexen


Nexen is drilling exploration wells for natural gas in its North Liard project area that is located approximately 60 kilometres south of Fort Liard. 

During the winter, the company supplies the project using a winter road that runs 59 kilometres from Highway 77 to an ice crossing over the Liard River and then 18.5 kilometres farther to its main camp. That isn't an option during the rest of the year.


Saturday, July 26, 2014

ConocoPhillips Surmont 3 In-Situ EIA

The ConocoPhillips - Surmont 3 In-Situ project has been in planning for many years.  The work to complete the EIA similarly takes considerable time.  The requirements for a 'complete' application are continually evolving and ongoing discussions with regulators is an important task in navigating these processes.  With the posting of documents to a public registry, now we can look at what the people did to complete their work to this stage of the process.  I always find it extremely instructive to review the submissions of other projects by other companies.  It is always good to have both the perspective of the government agencies (Terms of Reference) and their proponents (EIA/EIS).  These links lead to a projects EA subsite and links directly to different aspects of the submission including baseline reports and project operation/construction documents.  The Project documents are viewable at the ESRD and AER websites.


VIEW FULL LINKS HERE

Monday, July 21, 2014

Renard Diamond Project receives Final Investment Decision (FID)

CEAA Reference number: 55169
CEAA Federal Responsible Authorities: Fisheries and Oceans Canada and Natural Resources Canada
Proponent: Stornoway Diamond Corporation
Environmental Assessment Commenced: 2011-06-03
Environmental Assessment Type: Transitional Comprehensive Study
Status: Environmental assessment completed

Latest Update - August 2, 2013 – The Decision of Responsible Authorities has been taken.


About the Project
Projects that were undergoing a comprehensive study at the time the provisions of the Canadian Environmental Assessment Act, 2012 came into force will continue to follow the requirements of the former Act. Under the former Act, the Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency is responsible for conducting the comprehensive study of this project.

Stornoway Diamond Corporation is proposing the development of a diamond on its Foxtrot property in the James Bay region of Northern Quebec. The proposed project involves the development of the mine and local infrastructure, such as open pits, shafts, mine adits, a mill, kimberlite tailings impoundments, an explosives building, a facility for the extraction of ground water, housing complex, an airstrip and associated facilities.

This document consists of a summary of the Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) of the Renard Diamond Project on the Foxtrot property in the municipality of James Bay in north-central Québec.

Sunday, July 20, 2014

CERI: Canadian Oil Sands Supply Costs and Development Projects (2014-2048)

Each year the Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI) publishes its long-term outlook for Canadian oil sands production and supply in conjunction with an examination of oil sands supply costs. This is the ninth annual edition of CERI’s oil sands supply cost and development projects update report. Similar to past editions of the report, several scenarios for oil sands developments are explored. In addition, given the assumptions for the current cost structure, an outlook for future supply costs are provided.

Click Here to Report Link

Friday, July 18, 2014

MUST READ ~ Naked Capitalism & STRATFOR: Reflections on an Unforgiving Day

Reflections on an Unforgiving Day Stratfor. Paul Tioxon:

On days like this, it is not the meltdown on Wall St or some other critical financial exchange that stops the world. It is that very old power of the warrior society within society that stops the world in its tracks and demands attention. The Stratfor piece is remarkable in its lack of speculation, lack of a rush to judgement, and a revealing pause to empathize with those people in other parts of the world who now know what it is like when violence, military violence of the most devastating order reaches out grabs and you by the throat. And even if you survive, you never forget the choking sense of death, your death, can happen on any ordinary day. And on a scale that includes your family, your community and your whole country. And we have witnessed such a day where the military power of nations is unleashed on civil society, for whatever reason, in several places, in escalating scope. FULL Naked Capitalism Links HERE

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Stratfor

Reflections on an Unforgiving Day

  Text Size   Print
We ate breakfast to the news that an airliner had crashed in Ukraine. We had lunch to the news that Israel had invaded Gaza. An airliner crashing is perhaps more impactful than an invasion. We have all wondered, when we hear of a crash, or even in quiet moments on board an aircraft ourselves, what living our final moments in a plane plunging to earth, knowing that we will die, would be like. An invasion is harder for some of us to empathize with. Most of us have never invaded a country nor been in a country while it was invaded. But it shares this much with a plane crash: Your life is in danger, and your fate is out of your hands.
READ FULL ORIGINAL ARTICLE AND MORE HERE

Thursday, June 26, 2014

Supreme Court of Canada: 2014 SCC 44 - Tsilhqot'in Nation v. Crown

Full Text of 2014 SCC 44 HERE

Alberta Biodiversity Monitoring Institute: June 2014 Report

THE LATEST
Which Alberta plants and animals are most vulnerable to climate change?

We have just released the first-ever overview of how Alberta’s wild species are likely to be affected by climate change. Of all groups of species assessed, amphibians are among the most vulnerable to climate change. Read the report  (PDF 7.6MB)

You can explore the climate vulnerability of each of the 173 species we assessed in our vulnerability assessment database.

This report provides a broad overview of how Alberta species are likely to be affected by climate change by the 2050s. We used NatureServe's Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI) to assess the relative vulnerability to climate change of 173 Alberta amphibian, bird, insect, mammal and vascular plant species.