Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Are Unusual and "First-Time-Ever" Events becoming more common? (FT Alphaville)

US CDS curve inverts for first time ever [updated]

Presenting, courtesy of Bloomberg, le chart du jour — an eye opening inversion of the US credit default swap curve:
That means, as Bloomberg eloquently put it, that it costs more to insure US Treasuries for one year than it does for five years, for the first time ever. And that’s obviously in both the most liquid US CDS contracts, which are euro-denominated as well as the dollar denominated ones.
*Lisa Pollack from Markit actually points out that the curve has now been inverted for a few weeks, though there’s been a particularly convincing move in the last week:

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