Friday, February 11, 2011

Emerging Markets Risk Status (Black Swan Capital)

We always watch inter-market correlations. We believe it helps determine capital flows which helps with timing investments and trades. 

Despite a general "risk-on" appetite for global financial markets over the last few months - S&P 500 stronger, commodities stronger, currencies stronger versus the US dollar - Chinese share have taken the brunt of Chinese tightening expectations. Oddly, this risk has not seeped into global risk appetite.

Indeed, we noticed from watching our inter-market correlations that the Shanghai composite had been seriously underperforming. But in the last 2-3 weeks this measure has come back in line with the general mood.

For example ... READ MORE  Currency Currents 11 February 2011

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