The End of Europe?
By John Mauldin | January 14, 2012
Solving the Mayan Code
To Solve the Crisis You Must Solve Three Problems
Getting Simple About Europe
How Much Risk Do You Want in a Government Bond?
Do You Have a Spare €1.5 Trillion?
Singapore, Cape Town, and Thoughts on Hong Kong
To Solve the Crisis You Must Solve Three Problems
Getting Simple About Europe
How Much Risk Do You Want in a Government Bond?
Do You Have a Spare €1.5 Trillion?
Singapore, Cape Town, and Thoughts on Hong Kong
One of the interesting things about being in Hong Kong is that I get to see the weekend edition of the Financial Times 12 hours early. And the headlines were not all that pleasant. As I promised last week, we will cast our eyes to Europe and ponder what is in store for Europe for the year and the next five years. And what do we read on page 2? The "ECB raps revisions to draft a fiscal pact." Seems they feel there are too many loopholes, which will make the document meaningless … somewhat like the treaty they have now. And we further learn that "Greek default threat grows as talks falter." Seems there is a lack of agreement on how much of a haircut the investors ought to take, and the Greeks don't want to guarantee any future debt, just in case they need to default some more in the future. But they do want the €15 billion they need to keep the debt machine running for a few more months.
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