Stratfor on North Korea: Recent Reports
Ferocious, Weak and Crazy: The North Korean Strategy
By George Friedman
North Korea has been using the threat of tests and the tests themselves as weapons against its neighbors and the United States for years. On the surface, threatening to test weapons does not appear particularly sensible. If the test fails, you look weak. If it succeeds, you look dangerous without actually having a deliverable weapon. And the closer you come to having a weapon, the more likely someone is to attack you so you don't succeed in actually getting one. Developing a weapon in absolute secret would seem to make more sense. When the weapon is ready, you display it, and you have something solid to threaten enemies with. Read Report »
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| Escalating Tensions on the Korean Peninsula (Agenda) | |
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Stratfor Vice President of East Asia Analysis Rodger Baker explains that while escalating threats from North Korea carry the risk of armed conflict, war is still improbable.
Watch Video » |
| North Korea's Geographic Challenge | |
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Stratfor discusses how North Korea's primary geographic challenge of border security has shaped the imperatives of the country's current and previous regimes. Watch Video »
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Ferocious, Weak and Crazy: The North Korean Strategy
By George Friedman
North Korea has been using the threat of tests and the tests themselves as weapons against its neighbors and the United States for years. On the surface, threatening to test weapons does not appear particularly sensible. If the test fails, you look weak. If it succeeds, you look dangerous without actually having a deliverable weapon. And the closer you come to having a weapon, the more likely someone is to attack you so you don't succeed in actually getting one. Developing a weapon in absolute secret would seem to make more sense. When the weapon is ready, you display it, and you have something solid to threaten enemies with. Read Report »
Read More on North Korea »
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