Sunday, November 7, 2010

The Big Picture looks at the Dow Rally

Current Dow Rally, Duration and Magnitude

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By Barry Ritholtz - November 6th, 2010, 3:30PM
Chart of the Day has an interesting view on the state of the current cyclical bull run.
They note that “most major rallies (73%) resulted in a gain of between 30% and 150% and lasted between 200 and 800 trading days.
I would like to see that data sliced even finer. Rather than looking at the universe of all bull markets, I would want to break it down further into rallies during secular bull and bear markets. I suspect both the duration and magnitude might be different that way.
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Current Dow Rally Relative to Prior 27 Bulls Over 110 Years

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